SPX: Lower Volume Trading Range
The monthly chart below shows SPX managed to close the month above the middle Bollinger Band, maintained the bullish MACD, and held Money Flow steady. So, the cyclical bull market remains intact. Also, intermediate-term technical indicators, e.g. the NYSE's Summation Index, Bullish Percent Index, and Oscillator MAs, reached low enough levels in June, consistent with other cyclical bull market pullbacks, to indicate an intermediate-term bottom. However, a breakdown of those lows will lead to a larger correction or a bear market. Also, SPX had a classic October to May rally and has entered the seasonally weaker period. Consequently, a volatile trading range will likely take place over the next few months.
The daily chart below may indicate the SPX July trading range. Volume normally decreases over the summer. Major support levels are 1,253 (multi-year Fibonacci level) and 1,246 (previous support & resistance). Major resistance is 1,275 (previous support & resistance) and 1,290 (downtrend high). So, the July trading range may be between 1,246 and 1,290. There are many minor support and resistance levels within the range. A rise above 1,290 is bullish and a fall below 1,246 is bearish. Short-term technical indicators are useful (some shown below and explained in the Option Trading Log next day and next week trading plans), along with influencial market events, which may or may not have been fully discounted.
Free charts available at PeakTrader.com Forum Index Market Forecast category.
Arthur Albert Eckart is the founder and owner of PeakTrader. Arthur has worked for commercial banks, e.g. Wells Fargo, Banc One, and First Commerce Technologies, during the 1980s and 1990s. He has also worked for Janus Funds from 1999-00. Arthur Eckart has a BA & MA in Economics from the University of Colorado. He has worked on options portfolio optimization since 1998.
Mr Eckart has developed a comprehensive trading methodology using economics, portfolio optimization, and technical analysis to maximize return and minimize risk at the same time and over time. This methodology has resulted in excellent returns with low risk over the past four years.
The monthly chart below shows SPX managed to close the month above the middle Bollinger Band, maintained the bullish MACD, and held Money Flow steady. So, the cyclical bull market remains intact. Also, intermediate-term technical indicators, e.g. the NYSE's Summation Index, Bullish Percent Index, and Oscillator MAs, reached low enough levels in June, consistent with other cyclical bull market pullbacks, to indicate an intermediate-term bottom. However, a breakdown of those lows will lead to a larger correction or a bear market. Also, SPX had a classic October to May rally and has entered the seasonally weaker period. Consequently, a volatile trading range will likely take place over the next few months.
The daily chart below may indicate the SPX July trading range. Volume normally decreases over the summer. Major support levels are 1,253 (multi-year Fibonacci level) and 1,246 (previous support & resistance). Major resistance is 1,275 (previous support & resistance) and 1,290 (downtrend high). So, the July trading range may be between 1,246 and 1,290. There are many minor support and resistance levels within the range. A rise above 1,290 is bullish and a fall below 1,246 is bearish. Short-term technical indicators are useful (some shown below and explained in the Option Trading Log next day and next week trading plans), along with influencial market events, which may or may not have been fully discounted.
Free charts available at PeakTrader.com Forum Index Market Forecast category.
Arthur Albert Eckart is the founder and owner of PeakTrader. Arthur has worked for commercial banks, e.g. Wells Fargo, Banc One, and First Commerce Technologies, during the 1980s and 1990s. He has also worked for Janus Funds from 1999-00. Arthur Eckart has a BA & MA in Economics from the University of Colorado. He has worked on options portfolio optimization since 1998.
Mr Eckart has developed a comprehensive trading methodology using economics, portfolio optimization, and technical analysis to maximize return and minimize risk at the same time and over time. This methodology has resulted in excellent returns with low risk over the past four years.
posted by zzzzzzzzzzz at
4:27 AM
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